Thursday, November 6, 2008

Disparity in Obama's Wins vs. Jim Martin's Wins, county by county

County

Obama

Martin

Difference

Buckley

Dekalb

253675

232981

-20694

8635

Fulton

244025

223749

-20276

10905

Douglas

27766

26361

-1405

1811

Clayton

82404

76019

-6385

2101

Rockdale

20421

19433

-988

1082

Newton

20825

20194

-631

1237

Clarke

29513

26154

-3359

1786

Richmond

51948

46647

-5301

1606

Burke

5231

4839

-392

170

Jefferson

4138

3775

-363

104

Warren

1552

1406

-146

60

Hancock

3526

3169

-357

63

Baldwin

8575

8234

-341

411

Bibb

38851

35741

-3110

1170

Twiggs

2400

2468

68

102

Peach

5923

5678

-245

198

Macon

3251

2984

-267

63

Dooly

2118

1972

-146

71

Sumter

6444

5963

-481

223

Muscogee

44036

41226

-2810

1781

Chattahoochee

827

886

59

45

Stewart

1305

1176

-129

32

Quitman

597

565

-32

25

Clay

878

799

-79

18

Randolph

1811

1653

-158

44

Terrell

2497

2298

-199

66

Calhoun

1322

1288

-34

22

Dougherty

26087

23482

-2605

620

Baker

842

831

-11

33






TOTAL

892788

821971

-70817

34484










BUCKLEY+OBAMA VOTES





105301

The chart above displays the total number of votes received by Obama and Martin in the election on Tuesday, and all the data is current as of 1:15 PM on 11/5/08. The data is from the counties won by both Barack Obama and Jim Martin in Georgia.


As you can see, many Obama voters either voted for Saxby Chambliss or did not vote at all. In the chart this is represented by the difference column. This of course leaves out the percentage that voted for both Obama and Buckley, but I imagine this to be very small.


What this means to the Jim Martin campaign is that for the runoff the numbers where the difference is highest should be the focus of the campaign. If people were willing to get out to vote for Obama, then they will be more likely to vote for Jim Martin in the event of a runoff. The difference is marked in the chart above in bold, italicized print.


Consequently, I imagine that a great deal of attention should be paid to Fulton and Dekalb counties because it seems that the large African American vote in these places may not have originally supported Jim Martin. In the runoff, Jim Martin needs to do everything he can to get the point across that his position in the Senate is essential to Barack Obama's success as a President.